Tool overview
Preseen is listed under Research AI tools.
What is Preseen?
Preseen publishes probability forecasts for macroeconomic, political, market, and global events. Multiple AI researchers analyze primary sources independently, then the system synthesizes calibrated distributions, supporting evidence, and readable forecast reports.
Best for
Analysts and decision-makers who need explicit probabilities for uncertain events
Who is it for?
Decision note
Suitable for evaluation after confirming final commercial terms, controlled-field cleanup, permissions, data handling, and edit-screen aliases. Keep Needs Review enabled until a human verifies the published profile.
Key features
Continuous probability forecasts for global events
Independent AI researchers analyzing primary records
Calibrated numeric and categorical distributions
Source-backed reports with explicit reasoning
Public historical forecasts and resolution tracking
Coverage for finance, policy, geopolitics, and insurance
Use cases
Assessing geopolitical event probabilities
Supporting investment scenario analysis
Informing policy and risk briefings
Pricing uncertain insurance exposures
Tracking forecast updates over time
Pros
- Public forecasts can be inspected without payment
- Reports expose sources and uncertainty ranges
- Strong performance is documented on public tournaments
- Direct official contact is published
Cons
- Broader product access remains waitlist-based
- Forecasts can still be wrong or miscalibrated
- No public API or commercial pricing is documented
Limitations
Forecasts are probabilistic research, not financial, legal, insurance, or policy advice. Users should examine resolution criteria, source quality, model uncertainty, update dates, and alternative scenarios before making consequential decisions.
Pricing details
Billing options
Free public access
Pricing note
Public forecasts and reports are accessible without a paid subscription. Preseen invites users to join a waitlist for broader access, and no standard paid plan or commercial rate was published.
Supported languages
- English
Integrations
Metaculus
Kalshi
Public primary sources
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